Week 13 Power Rankings & Playoff Clinching Scenarios (12-06-2023)

Reminder that the top seven teams will be seeded for the playoffs following the conclusion of the regular season in Week 14. The ESPN power rankings do not apply our tiebreaker protocols correctly so always consult the official BFFL power rankings for your current seeding prospects. If you believe there is a mistake, please contact me immediately. At this time, only one team has clinched playoffs (denoted by the asterisk) which means with all four divisions and six playoff spots up for grabs, this will by far be the most important weekend in BFFL history.

Current Power Rankings/Playoff Seeds

1. Gandalf the Goat, 9-4 (2-3 DIV, 1090.9 PF)*
2. Doctor Jenious, 8-5 (1-4 DIV, 1105.0 PF)
3. Pool of the Dead, 8-5 (4-1 DIV, 1077.7 PF)
4. Elk Grove Spartans, 6-7 (3-2 DIV, 1009.3 PF)
5. No Diggity…about to bag it up, 8-5 (3-2 DIV, 1096.2 PF)
6. Isla Sorna Raptors, 8-5 (2-3 DIV, 1098 PF)

7. Jedi Knights, 8-5 (2-3 DIV, 1035.5 PF)

8. Mahomies’ Deezflated Nuts, 7-6 (3-2 DIV, 1088.1 PF)
9. Da Moon’s Huge Craters, 7-6 (4-1 DIV, 976.7 PF)
10. Philippines Garbage Dumps, 6-7 (3-2 DIV, 956.0 PF)
11. SLAM BALL 2K23, Eliminated
12. Uur UPS, Eliminated
13. Lin Sanity, 5-8 (2-3 DIV, 956.7 PF)
14. Sacramento Wolfpack, 5-8 (2-3 DIV, 910.0 PF)
15. Bruce Almightys, Eliminated
16. Korriban Warriors, Eliminated 

Because of the unique situation we are in with so many clinching scenarios and playoff seeding mobility possibilities in Week 14, I figured it would be better served to look at some of the more likely playoff scenarios and look at it on a division by division basis.

FFC North

We will start with the strongest division in fantasy football where three teams are sitting at an 8-5 record. Currently any three team tie will favor Pool of the Dead with a strong divisional record. If Pool of the Dead wins in Week 14, they win the division.

In Week 14, there will be an epic matchup of the Jedi Knights vs the Isla Sorna Raptors. Both teams will root for the Pool of the Dead to lose in Week 14 which would give the winner of the Knights/Raptors the FFC North title. If the Pool of the Dead wins, then the winner of the Jedi Knights/Raptors would go into a head to head tiebreaker protocol against the Pool. Since nobody wins the head to head against Pool, it will go to divisional record again and Pool of the Dead wins the North. Therefore let’s look at wildcard scenarios.

It’s a win and you’re in scenario. Let’s assume Pool of the Dead wins their matchup first. The winner of Raptors/Jedi would get to 9 wins. The only other team who can get to 9 wins and not win their division would be one of No Diggity/Gandalf meaning that at worst the winner of Raptors/Jedi would be the #6 seed. The loser would have a more difficult time. With 8 wins, the possible teams they could be deadlocked include No Diggity, Mahomies’ Deezflated Nuts and one of Craters/Jenious. With one playoff seed going to the winner of Raptors/Jedi, the loser could possibly be locked in a three team tie where their divisional record (presumably 2-4) could potentially lose out to Nic (3-3), Nuts (4-2) and Craters (5-1) but would defeat Jenious (who could be 1-5 in a loss).

Let’s assume Pool of the Dead loses their matchup. Now it goes without saying the winner of Raptors/Jedi would win the division. The loser of the matchup would be 8-6 with a 2-4 divisional record which could presumably lose out to Pool of the Dead (4-2 divisional record) and the above mentioned teams making it a much more difficult road to the playoffs. 

All three prospective playoff teams from this division will have their eyes on a number of matchups. The most favorable outcomes would be losses by the Craters, Mahomies Deezflated Nuts and No Diggity. That opens the most doors to playoff opportunities and we could very well see all three teams entering the tournament after Week 14.

FFC West

The most hilarious playoff scenario in the West would be ending the season the same way it’s gone most season; a four way tie. That would require the Wolfpack to beat the PGD and Lin Sanity to beat the Spartans. Going to a four way tie would also result in a divisional record tie at 3-3 which would then go to a points scored four-way tie breaker, of which the Spartans have a comfortable lead and we are in miracle territory. Talk about exciting!

The most likely scenario however is the two heavy favorites, the PGD and Spartans will win their Week 14 matchups. Both teams have split the season series, would have equal divisional records and it would again go to a points scored tiebreaker. Currently the Spartans lead the PGD by a comfortable 53.3 point margin. It would take a near historical day from the PGD to eclipse that margin, so their preferred outcome would be to win and simply have the Spartans lose, setting the PGD up to win the division just by overall record.

FFC East

Gandalf the Goat is the only team that has clinched a playoff berth going into Week 14. Currently as they sit at the #1 seed, protecting that bye week is very important so this matchup result will still be of great consequence to them against MD Nuts. If Gandalf the Goat wins in Week 14, he wins the division regardless of the other results.

For No Diggity to win the division, he would need to win his Week 14 matchup and have MD Nuts defeat Gandalf. This would allow No Diggity to win the division on a divisional record tiebreaker (since the season series with Gandalf is split 1-1). Even in this outcome, Gandalf becomes a wildcard team.

Mahomies Deezflated Nuts has the most difficult road to the playoffs in this division. Winning in Week 14 plus needing a little bit of additional help from the other wildcard teams is their most realistic path to a wildcard (since winning the division is not possible with a two game deficit). A prospective 4-2 divisional record would go a long way in a big tiebreaker scenario for all 8-6 teams after Week 14. For example, MD Nuts winning + losses by No diggity and loser of Jedi vs Raptors would create a three plus team tie at 8-6 and the divisional record superiority goes to MD Nuts who would then clinch a playoff berth. It would also be beneficial for MD Nuts if the Craters lost, since they would be the only team in a three plus team trade to have a better divisional record (5-1).

FFC South

This is a two horse race and the easiest division to break down. If Doctor Jenious wins, he wins the FFC South regardless of the UPS/Craters result. If Doctor Jenious loses, the Craters will win the division on a divisional record tiebreaker (since the season series is split 1-1).

Wildcard scenarios also exist for both Dr. J and the Craters. Let’s assume Doctor Jenious wins the division first. The Craters would likely need to win to match the other 8 win teams. The best outcome for the Craters would be a massive log jam of 8 win teams because in any three plus team tiebreaker, the Craters would dominate and jump to the head of the line with a 5-1 divisional record.

Let’s assume the Craters win the division (meaning Dr. J loses his Week 14 matchup and drops to 8-6 with a 1-5 divisional record). This is the exact opposite for the Craters where any three plus team ties would be a disaster with a 1-5 divisional record and the Jenious would most likely get bounced from playoffs. But the Jenious does have head to head tiebreakers over the Raptors, Pool, MD Nuts and No Diggity. They would need the least amount of 8 win teams to emerge after Week 14 for a shot at getting a head to head tiebreaker win. One example of this scenario would be No Diggity wins, Jedi Knights wins, Gandalf wins, Pool wins. This would mean Pool wins the division, No Diggity gets a wildcard spot, Jedi gets a wildcard spot and the final wildcard spot would be a head to head tiebreaker win for the Jenious over the Raptors.

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